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Kremlin Data Leak Claims Up to 450,000 Russian Soldiers Have Been Killed in the Ukraine War

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A major data leak allegedly exposing Russia’s military death records has raised fresh questions about the true human cost of the Kremlin’s invasion of Ukraine, with figures suggesting that as many as 450,100 Russian soldiers may have been killed since the full-scale war began in February 2022.

The figures were reportedly obtained by two hacking groups, Silent Crow and Belarusian Cyber Partisans, which claim to have accessed an internal database belonging to Russia’s state statistics agency, Rosstat. The database allegedly contains death certificate records covering the period between February 2022 and August 2026.

Silent Crow arrived at a death toll of 450,100, while Belarusian Cyber Partisans reported a lower figure of 393,881 after using a narrower method that counted only records explicitly linking deaths to military operations.

However, the figures have not been independently verified, and Rosstat has denied that its databases were compromised. The agency admitted that its systems came under cyberattacks between October 29 and November 1 but insisted that no sensitive records were stolen.

Russia has not officially updated its military death toll since September 2022, when Moscow acknowledged fewer than 6,000 deaths. Its continued silence has made independent estimates and leaked information increasingly important in understanding the scale of its battlefield losses.

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The leaked figures also appear to align with growing Western assessments of Russia’s mounting casualties. A September British intelligence estimate reportedly put Russian military deaths at approximately 500,000. Meanwhile, the head of the UK Armed Forces, Air Chief Marshal Sir Rich Knighton, estimated that total Russian casualties, including wounded personnel, may have reached 1.5 million.

The hacking groups further warned that Russian military deaths could exceed 200,000 in 2026 alone if the current rate of losses continues.

Janis Kluge, head of the Russia and Eurasia division at the German Institute for International and Security Affairs, described the disclosure as the most significant data leak concerning Russian military casualties. He noted that the conflict has reached an exceptionally deadly stage.

Beyond the numbers, the revelations highlight the growing strain on Russia’s ability to sustain its military campaign. Moscow is reportedly recruiting between 1,000 and 1,200 people daily and has received more than 10,000 troops from North Korea. Ukrainian intelligence, meanwhile, estimates that Russia is losing more than 1,400 troops daily on the battlefield, although this figure includes casualties beyond confirmed deaths.

The revelations come as diplomatic efforts to end the war face renewed pressure. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has accused Moscow of escalating attacks to strengthen its position ahead of US-brokered peace talks scheduled for Tuesday and Wednesday in Abu Dhabi.

Meanwhile, Russian attacks continue to threaten Ukrainian civilians and critical infrastructure as the country prepares for winter. Recent strikes hit a kindergarten and a major bridge in Kyiv, injuring at least nine people, including a 14-year-old girl.

In another devastating incident, a Russian strike hit a school being used as a humanitarian center, reportedly killing at least 55 people, including rescue workers and police officers.

With both sides struggling to sustain their forces and civilian casualties continuing to mount, the alleged Kremlin data leak offers a disturbing picture of a war whose human cost appears to be growing with every passing month.

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